Rebuild timeline
24 months
Modeled clean-room rebuild duration before the acquirer can exploit the same market window.
Counterfactual acquisition witness
The page that answers: why buy VaultAI instead of rebuilding it with AI?
VaultAI now generates a deterministic build-vs-buy witness. It prices the counterfactual rebuild path, applies integer-only risk adjustments, compares it with acquisition buy-in, and signs the result for acquirer diligence.
Floor defense
defensiblesigned witness
Every modeled buyer archetype shows avoided rebuild cost above the $800k acquisition-floor witness before any strategic option value is counted.
- Median payback
- 10 months
- Min avoided rebuild
- $2,044,000
- Max avoided rebuild
- $8,826,800
- Witness root
- 68c6f73e7d1a...
Most powerful scenario
The strongest buyer case is not “more features.” It is avoided time, validation burden, and execution drag.
Use VaultAI as a controlled modernization proof pack for ledger evidence, migration simulation, and compliance review.
Counterfactual cost
$9,996,800
R&D, security validation, infrastructure validation, delay cost, and execution-risk load.
Buy-in
$1,170,000
Acquisition floor plus implementation and diligence/legal allowance.
Avoided rebuild cost
$8,826,800
Excess cost avoided before any broader strategic option value is counted.
Scenario ledger
Four buyer archetypes, each with its own counterfactual proof.
| Buyer archetype | Rebuild path | Acquire path | Avoided rebuild cost | Payback | Proof hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M&A workflow platform Add AI diligence, cited extraction, valuation haircut logic, and VDR evidence surfaces without a greenfield roadmap delay. | $3,610,800 | $1,000,000 | $2,610,800 | 10 months | 4d22af3843856c464b57... |
Virtual data room provider Convert static document rooms into cited intelligence surfaces with audit-grade evidence and buyer-facing proof APIs. | $5,783,800 | $1,080,000 | $4,703,800 | 9 months | a72e31c689f403f950fd... |
Regional bank technology group Use VaultAI as a controlled modernization proof pack for ledger evidence, migration simulation, and compliance review. | $9,996,800 | $1,170,000 | $8,826,800 | 8 months | bb4ca9a1efa26374dc3a... |
Vertical software holding company Acquire a deployable IP package with proof surfaces, docs, deployment assets, and an operator-ready acquisition narrative. | $3,074,000 | $1,030,000 | $2,044,000 | 10 months | 38bbd87f393249f3ceb6... |
Objection killers
The acquisition argument is converted into a signed, challengeable evidence object.
This witness is a deterministic internal model, not a third-party valuation, fairness opinion, investment advice, legal opinion, audit report, patent opinion, or guarantee of buyer demand.
A competent team can rebuild this with AI tools.
The witness prices the rebuild path as a full replacement program: staff months, security validation, infrastructure validation, launch delay, and execution risk. The result is not code length; it is avoided R&D drag.
scenario_results[*].build_path.total_counterfactual_cost_cents
Pre-revenue assets should not clear a $500k floor.
The floor is defended only when avoided rebuild cost and first-year acceleration exceed the modeled buy-in. The model is intentionally separated from public asking price.
aggregate.floor_defense_verdict
There is no independent audit.
The witness does not claim third-party audit. It creates a deterministic evidence object that an outside reviewer can rerun, hash, and challenge scenario-by-scenario.
witness_root_sha256